| Nicaragua: the home of poetry and spectacular geography or the  home of war and dangerous crime? How is it that the simple word Nicaragua  conjures up visions of violence and suffering for the foreigner before a visit  and memories of beautiful culture and nature on the airplane ride home? Why  does Nicaragua  suffer such a negative image? Is it justified? While  guiding visitors to Nicaragua  over the last 8 years, customers have related to me that before departure from  their home country, at least 95% of the ones from North   America, and more than 70% from Europe  were shown serious concern by family and/or friends about safety issues for a  visit to Nicaragua.  The polar opposite of Nicaragua  in the international traveler’s mindset is our southern neighbor Costa Rica.  According to a recent independent study, of all North American travelers who  were interested in visiting Central America, 91% of them said that Costa Rica  was the place they would “really like to go to” or “like to go to”. Of the same  travelers when asked to describe Nicaragua, 47% said “unstable” and  another 20% said “dangerous”, while only 13% said “friendly”.  Nicaragua is poor. 40 years ago Nicaragua’s wealth was greater than  Taiwan  and 25 years ago it was superior to Costa Rica. However, societal  freedom and strong economies have not traditionally been great dance partners  in Latin America. In the 20th century Nicaragua lived  45 years of a Somoza family dictatorship in Nicaragua that was very good for  international business and trade and very bad for liberty and democracy. In the  end freedom triumphed with the popular overthrow of Somoza, thanks to the  revolution of 1978-79 lead by the FSLN and fought by a diverse cross-section of  Nicaraguan society. The cost was high on both a human and economical level. Despite  the war being won by broad-based coalition, after the victory, another  dictatorship, the FSLN (or Sandinistas) quickly consolidated power and personal  freedoms suffered once again. When the reality set in that real democracy was  not achieved by the popular victory against Somoza, some of the heroes of the  revolution returned to the mountains to fight once again, this time against the  new Sandinista Government. Three years later, when the US began to finance the rebels and  installed ex-Somoza National Guard leaders to direct them, they became know as  the “Contras”, their border insurgency as the “Contra War”. Unlike the  revolution against Somoza, the anti-Sandinista guerilla war was fought in  limited areas of the country, but the world-wide controversy that surrounded  its funding buried Nicaragua’s  international reputation in infamy. Meanwhile  the lethal combination of a US  economic embargo, Sandinista economic policies and spending to combat the  Contras, destroyed Nicaragua’s  economy. A peace pact was finally signed and in 1990 the Sandinistas lost in general  elections, and they democratically handed over power to Violeta Chamorro. Many  of the former rebels from both sides of the 1980’s conflict fence became  wealthy and/or successful businessmen. Economic interests of the Sandinista  leaders and aggressive disarmament policy gradually solidified peace in Nicaragua,  which was fully in place by the end of 1995. Poverty, however, remained well  entrenched.    For  comparison, UNICEF’s 2001 gross national income per capita figures are  revealing. They list the USA  at $34,870 per capita as the world’s second highest standard. Costa Rica is  one of the wealthier countries per capita in Latin America  at US$3,950, while Nicaragua  rates a measly US$420 per capita. World statistics generally list Nicaragua as  the 2nd poorest country in the hemisphere behind Haiti. Much of the problem revolves  around Nicaragua’s  external debt. Foreign debt stands at US$6.5 billion, a mere pittance for many  countries, but a giant ball and chain for Nicaragua, who’s annual GDP is only  US$2 billion. In 2004 Nicaragua  appears very close to being pardoned of 75% of this external debt by the IMF,  which would relieve Nicaragua  of its unenviable current status as proportionally the most indebted country on  the planet. One could  rightfully imagine that a decade of war and the resulting poverty would create  a miserable population, desperate and depressed, turning to crime, with waves  of social unrest triggering subsequent government repression. If only Nicaragua was  not the country where “lead floats and cork sinks” as the popular saying goes,  this might be true. However in Nicaragua  things are not as the world would likely expect or imagine them to be.   One quick  measure of any populace’s happiness is suicide rates. Surely such an  impoverished and war-weary people might be inclined to pull the plug, throw in  the towel. Suicide rates according to the World Heath Organization in Nicaragua are  6.9 per 100,000. However, wealthy southern neighbor Costa Rica’s rate is higher, at  11.8 per 100,000. Both pale in comparison with the really wealthy countries  like the USA  at 21.7, Australia  at 26.3 or France at 35.5, not to mention Switzerland at 36.5 or Japan at 50.6  per 100,000.   So money  does not necessarily buy happiness, but it should keep crime down. Crime statistics  are a shaky business, the more efficiently a country reports their crimes the  further they slide down in the safety rankings, but it does prove useful as a  reference point. According to Interpol in 2001, crime rate per 100,000 was  9,927 for England,  7,736 for Germany,  4,161 for the USA  and 1,750 for Nicaragua.  Could Nicaragua  be home to less than half the crime in England or Germany? Murder rates are a popular measure for a country’s  level of violent crime and are more reliable than most, as murders rarely go  unreported. The world’s homicide rate is currently estimated at 8.86 per  100,000. Latin America is quite a bit rougher,  with an average of 22.9 murders per 100,000 in the region. Most neighbor  countries of Nicaragua  in Central America are on the upper end of the  world’s scale, exactly where the world might expect Nicaragua would be located.  Countries like El Salvador  at 117 per 100,000, Guatemala  at 45 per 100,000 and Honduras  at 41 per 100,000. In North America, the US murder rate  is 7.1 per 100,000, yet its famously violent cities weigh in at 14.8 per  100,000 for Los Angeles,  21.9 for Chicago,  31.7 for Atlanta,  with Washington, D.C. at 41.8 and New Orleans at 43.3. Little Costa Rica, the  “oasis of peace”, is at 7.2, the same as the US and significantly safer than  most other Central American republics. What about Nicaragua? Nicaragua  suffers only 3.4 per 100,000, making it the least violent country in Central America and one of the safest in all the  hemisphere.   Could it  be that Nicaragua  is safe because it is actually a police state that has come down hard on the  population, locked everyone up? Incarceration rates suggest otherwise. The USA leads the  world in prison inmates with a staggering 682 per 100,000 in jail. Canada has 123  per 100,000, Scotland  119 and Germany 96, while Nicaragua  has only 57 per 100,000 imprisoned. How about on a regional level: comparing Nicaragua vs. Central America in total inmates? Honduras has  9,816 inmates under key, El    Salvador 9,378, Guatemala 7,834, Costa Rica 5,542  and Nicaragua  at 3,913. Perhaps it is Nicaragua’s  police? Do they have menacing, heavily armed forces that guard the country with  intimidating 24 hour patrols? Police officers per thousand statistics rate  Italy at 5.3 police per thousand, Spain at 4.7, Germany at 4.4, El Salvador at  2.6, Costa Rica with 2.5 and Nicaragua with 1.2 police per thousand. What those  numbers don’t show is that Nicaragua’s  small police force is also largely unarmed. In fact more than half of  Nicaraguan police do not carry firearms at all.    Today Nicaragua has  the smallest military in Central America at  14,000 men. According to the International Institute for Strategic Studies,  Nicaragua’s military is shrinking at a rate that puts it as number 129 out of  132 countries in world rankings for military growth with a minus -75% growth  rate. This compared with Mexico  whose armed forces are growing at a rate +49%, or the extreme of Colombia at  +130%. In fact Nicaragua  ranks behind peaceful Holland  in soldiers per 1,000 people.   In a regional armed forces spending comparison  published in the 2002 CIA factbook, Mexico spends US$4 billion on military  annually, while Central American neighbors Guatemala and Costa Rica spend  US$120 million and US$69 million per year respectively. In contrast, Nicaragua  spends only US$26 million annual.   This  endless barrage of statistics, percentages and numbers gets very tiresome and  they do nothing to demonstrate the Nicaraguan people’s interminable sense of  humor, warmth and hospitality. Nor do the statistics highlight Nicaragua’s  love for poetry or their amazing, daily reinvention of the Spanish language.  The percentages do little to reveal Nicaragua’s unique cultures of  dance, music, and great food. These are all qualities that carry no numerical  value. If in Nicaragua  the probable seems impossible and the impossible extremely likely, it is thanks  to her unique people. No writer can do them proper justice with a long list of  numbers. Some qualities can only be felt, experienced first hand. Only a visit  to Nicaragua  can provide that pleasure.    |